Every
once in a while someone will come up with a name and explanation for
something that you've experienced repeatedly and know is important but
can't quite label. This happened to me just recently with Chris
Anderson's concept of the Long Tail.
The core idea here is that the Internet changes many of the hit-driven
business models we've come to take for granted. In the old physical
retail world with limited shelf space, blockbuster movies dominate the
video store racks and movie theaters, while best seller books account
for the bulk of shelf space in bookstores. Then along come companies
like Amazon and Netflix who use cheap storage and distribution, coupled
with powerful user interfaces for discovering less popular titles, and
boom, the whole model flips. Titles in the Long Tail . those less
popular books, videos, albums, etc. that never really sold before,
suddenly start selling. Maybe still not by a whole lot individually,
but collectively their sales can start to rival or exceed sales of the
bestsellers. This is the notion of the Long Tail.
So I've been thinking about the Long Tail as it relates to
connecting people back with the places that they live. For kicks, let's
call it the Local Tail. The Local Tail is similar in many respects to
the Long Tail.
Take news as an example, big important stories that happen at the
national and international level tend to get lots of coverage by lots
of media. They choke off other stories of potential interest to smaller
numbers of people. So yeah, a story about the war in Iraq or a
Presidential campaign is likely to bump the story about the Pez
collector convention. But it also bumps the story about a particular
bill that is working its way through my state legislature. No sweat.
That.s what my local paper is for, and quite frequently they do carry a
story like that if they.re a decent enough paper that hasn't been
gutted of its editorial staff in some buy-out and that doesn't pull
most of its stories from Reuters feeds. So far, the system works. That
bill may not be getting picked up in the New York Times or Washington
Post, but at least somebody is covering it. But now let's take it down
one more level. What about the stuff that's happening in my
neighborhood? Very, very interesting to me, but not really to the rest
of Seattle. So my local paper doesn't cover it. It can't afford to;
just as the corner bookstores couldn't really afford to carry all of
those titles in the Long Tail.
End of story right? No, not exactly. A few years from now; maybe
quite a few years from now admittedly, but one or more of my neighbors
is going to start blogging about what.s happening in our neighborhood.
Seeing him or her do that might actually motivate me to post a few
myself that are tied to things going on in the neighborhood. Easy
enough to do, but what's missing right now is an easy way to find them.
Chris Anderson touches on the importance of discoverability toward the end of his Long Tail article
but I think this is really one the critical factors behind the whole
concept. Finding news that is really local just isn't that easy right
now, but Google getting into mapping services along with Amazon with its A9 search engine
with mapping capabilities suggest to me that this is about to change
very quickly. I would be shocked if they don.t eventually come up with
solutions that make it easy to tag certain sites and individual content
chunks with some sort of geo-coding. When that happens, the Local Tail
will explode.
The Local Tail is likely to start with information, but my guess,
and my hope is that it will not stop there. I use Bloglines for my RSS
reading and I've noticed that since using it I.ve become way more
connected with news from my local paper. We don't get the local paper
at home because it bothers me to see all that paper stacking up -
usually unread. And I never really got into the habit of regularly
visiting either of my two local papers. websites. But now that I get
both of their RSS feeds into my Bloglines, I read them all the time.
And if I had a few streams coming in from one or two neighborhood
activists or even neighborhood busybodies, I'm convinced I would read
those too. So the hope is that once this stuff starts being easier to
discover more people will start blogging within the Local Tail about
stuff too local to get picked up in mainstream media. And when that
happens, we will hopefully start seeing a renewed interest in
neighborhoods, and ultimately our neighbors. It.s not at all whacky to
imagine. This is where you live. News about planned roadwork on your
street or improvements to the nearby park really matter.
So will the Local Tail stop there with news? I don't think so. I
think it will have an impact on our civic engagement and loyalty to
local businesses. Think about hearing that those nearby park
improvements you heard about last month were now being scuttled and
some of your neighbors were getting together to do something about it.
You know no one else in Seattle's going to do anything - too local to
matte to them. It's up to you and your neighbors. Right now, I don.t
hear about most of this kind of stuff. As for local business, I think
that the Local Tail has tremendous potential to shift the way we shop -
particularly for services. Combine it with reputation systems like
those found on eBay and more useable browsing with geo-tagging via cell
phones and you start to get something very interesting. Sure, there are
some impediments. While I was working at Microsoft, I was tangentially
involved with its local Sidewalk business (which was sold to CitySearch)
and it was tough to get local merchants to maintain their information
online. But sales have a way of motivating behavior changes. Retailers
will likely also find that The Long Tail trumps the Local Tail; meaning
that it will be hard to compete with the inventory management
advantages of sophisticated outfits like Amazon. But even that is
changing. Amazon is no longer primarily about running big warehouses.
They are moving into the e-commerce platform business in a big way.
Imagine what happens if an when they figure out how to tie in local
merchants into a distributed network of local showrooms and fulfillment
centers.
The world has a very good chance of changing as we know it as we
move away from monolithic, centralized information sources and service
providers to a more distributed, more convenient network of the local
made discoverable by the online. Long live the Local Tail.
Original Location: http://blogs.onenw.org/gideon/2005/03/06/long-tail-meets-local-in-the- local-tail/