Maybe you've traveled to Mexico or Canada, and exchanged your American
dollars for pesos or Canadian dollars. Or, perhaps you've traveled from
England to Japan and exchanged your English pounds for yen. If so, you
have experienced exchange rates in action. But, do you understand how
they work?
You've probably heard the financial reporter on the nightly
news say something like, "The dollar fell against the yen today." But,
do you know what that means?
In this article, we'll tell you what exchange rates are and
explain some of the factors that can affect the value of currency in
countries around the world.
The Cost of Money
National currencies
are vitally important to the way modern economies operate. They allow
us to consistently express the value of an item across borders of
countries, oceans, and cultures. We need exchange rates because one
nation's currency is not always accepted in another. You can't walk
into a store in Japan and buy a loaf of bread with Swiss francs. First, you'd have to go to a bank
and buy some Japanese yen with your Swiss francs. An exchange rate is
simply the cost of one form of currency in another form of currency. In
other words, if you exchange 1 Swiss franc for 80 Japanese yen, you
really just purchased a different form of money.
You can express that exchange rate as:
1CHF = 80JPY
Meaning that one Swiss franc costs 80 Japanese yen.
A Brief History of Exchange Rates
For
centuries, the currencies of the world were backed by gold. That is, a
piece of paper currency issued by any world government represented a
real amount of gold held in a vault by that government. In the 1930s,
the U.S. set the value of the dollar at a single, unchanging level: 1
ounce of gold was worth $35. After World War II, other countries based
the value of their currencies on the U.S. dollar. Since everyone knew
how much gold a U.S. dollar was worth, then the value of any other
currency against the dollar could be based on its value in gold. A
currency worth twice as much gold as a U.S dollar was, therefore, also
worth two U.S. dollars.
Unfortunately, the real world of economics outpaced this
system. The U.S. dollar suffered from inflation (its value relative to
the goods it could purchase decreased), while other currencies became
more valuable and more stable. Eventually, the U.S. could no longer
pretend that the dollar was worth as much as it had been, so the value
was officially reduced so that 1 ounce of gold was now worth $70. The
dollar's value was cut in half.
Finally, in 1971, the U.S. took away the gold standard
altogether. This meant that the dollar no longer represented an actual
amount of a precious substance -- market forces alone determined its
value.
Today, the U.S. dollar still dominates many financial markets. In fact, exchange rates are often expressed in terms of U.S. dollars. Currently, the U.S. dollar and the euro
account for approximately 50 percent of all currency exchange
transactions in the world. Adding British pounds, Canadian dollars,
Australian dollars, and Japanese yen to the list accounts for over 80
percent of currency exchanges altogether.
Methods of Exchange
The Floating Exchange Rate
There are two main systems used to determine a currency's exchange rate: floating currency and pegged currency.
The market determines a floating exchange rate. In other words,
a currency is worth whatever buyers are willing to pay for it. This is
determined by supply and demand, which is in turn driven by foreign investment, import/export ratios, inflation, and a host of other economic factors.
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Find a Floating System
You can see a floating system at work. In recent months, changes in the
U.S. and Canadian economies have led to the Canadian dollar becoming
worth more. For years, a Canadian dollar was worth about 65 cents.
Since the beginning of 2003, it has risen to 75 cents. Look in the
business section of your newspaper, or check an exchange rate
calculator on the Internet, and track the Canadian dollar's rise in value yourself. Right now, economists aren't sure how high it will go.
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Generally, countries with mature, stable economic markets will use a
floating system. Virtually every major nation uses this system,
including the U.S., Canada and Great Britain. Floating exchange rates
are considered more efficient, because the market will automatically
correct the rate to reflect inflation and other economic forces.
The floating system isn't perfect, though. If a country's
economy suffers from instability, a floating system will discourage
investment. Investors could fall victim to wild swings in the exchange
rates, as well as disastrous inflation.
The Pegged Exchange Rate
A pegged, or fixed system,
is one in which the exchange rate is set and artificially maintained by
the government. The rate will be pegged to some other country's dollar,
usually the U.S. dollar. The rate will not fluctuate from day to day.
A government has to work to keep their pegged rate stable.
Their national bank must hold large reserves of foreign currency to
mitigate changes in supply and demand. If a sudden demand for a
currency were to drive up the exchange rate, the national bank would
have to release enough of that currency into the market to meet the
demand. They can also buy up currency if low demand is lowering
exchange rates.

The Foreign Exchange Market, or Forex, is the most
prolific financial market in the world. Each day, over $1 trillion
worth of currency changes hands.
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Countries that have immature, potentially unstable economies usually
use a pegged system. Developing nations can use this system to prevent
out-of control-inflation. The system can backfire, however, if the real
world market value of the currency is not reflected by the pegged rate.
In that case, a black market may spring up, where the currency will be traded at its market value, disregarding the government's peg.
When people realize that their currency isn't worth as much as the
pegged rate indicates, they may rush to exchange their money for other,
more stable currencies. This can lead to economic disaster, since the
sudden flood of currency in world markets drives the exchange rate very
low. So if a country doesn't take good care of their pegged rate, they
may find themselves with worthless currency.
Hybrids
In reality, few exchange
rate systems are 100 percent floating, or 100 percent pegged. Countries
using a pegged rate can avoid market panics and inflationary disasters
by using a floating peg.
They peg their rate to the U.S. dollar, and that rate doesn't fluctuate
from day to day. However, the government periodically reviews their
peg, and makes minor adjustments to keep it in line with the true
market value.
Floating systems aren't really left to the mercy of market
forces, either. Governments using floating exchange rates make changes
to their national economic policy that can affect exchange rates,
directly or indirectly. Tax
cuts, changes to the national interest rate, and import tariffs can all
change the value of a nation's currency, even though the value
technically floats.
The next time you cross a border, and trade your money for that
of another country, remember that economic forces across the world
helped determine that exchange rate. In fact, when you exchange
currencies, you're one of those economic forces -- you're helping to
set the exchange rate, too.
Although this system works pretty well most of the time, it's not always the best solution.
The Euro
On January 1, 2002, the euro
became the single currency of 12 member states of the European Union --
making it the second largest currency in the world (the U.S. dollar
being the largest). This was, to date, the largest currency event in
the history of the world; twelve national currencies completely
disappeared and were replaced by the euro. (For even more information
on the euro, check out How the Euro Works.)
The original seed for a common currency was planted in 1946 when
Winston Churchill suggested the creation of the "United States of
Europe." His goals were primarily political, in that he hoped a unified
government would bring about peace for a continent that had been torn
apart by two world wars.
Although the euro is fundamentally a tool to enhance political
solidarity, it also has the economic effect of unifying the economies
of participating countries. Some of the euro's advantages, in regard to
economics, include:
- Elimination of exchange-rate fluctuations - The euro eliminates the fluctuations of currency values across certain borders.
- Transaction costs - Tourists and others who cross
several borders during the course of a trip had to exchange their money
as they entered each new country. The costs of all of these exchanges
added up significantly. With the euro, no exchanges are necessary
within the Euroland countries.
- Increased trade across borders - The price
transparency, elimination of exchange-rate fluctuations, and the
elimination of exchange-transaction costs all contribute to an increase
in trade across borders of all the Euroland countries.
- Increased cross-border employment - With a single
currency, it is less cumbersome for people to cross into the next
country to work, because their salary is paid in the same currency they
use in their own country.